Research background:
In 2008, there are significant changes in China's macro-economy and policies. Maintained in 5 consecutive years of growth, macro-economic development in the second half of 2008 has obviously slowed down. Since the beginning of the implementation of steady fiscal policy and tight monetary policy, in the fourth quarter to turn a proactive fiscal policy and moderate monetary policy and taken a number of measures to expand domestic demand and exports to enhance and stimulate economic growth. In the external economic front, the economic recession has spread around the world as a result of the international financial crisis, and China's economy is running a serious negative impact.

In this context, all kind of good and bad factors continuously impact China's chemical fertilizer industry the fertilizer market in 2008 showed the trend of twists and turns of the shock.

On the one hand, the government take some measures like increasing investment in agriculture and subsidies, new food production capacity planning, and increase grains purchase prices, and other measures to make grains and other agricultural harvests year after year the situation arise, form a strong support to fertilizer production, demand and investment. In the first half year of 2008, the domestic fertilizer production and demand remains relatively strong, exports hit the highest level in the same period, the industry profit rose to its highest point since 2006. On the other hand, costs of raw materials, energy, human resources, environmental protection were rising trend. And are subject to serious constraints on the international market, and form pressure to chemical fertilizer companies. Further tightening policy environment in macro-control, planning and industry investment, import and export, environmental protection, the fertilizer industry to increase the negative effects. Since the second half of 2008, the fertilizer industry face unfavorable situation like weakness in domestic consumption, exports stagnated, prices crash and production decline, the industry profit margins have also dropped significantly.

As an international financial crisis broke out, in the fourth quarter of 2008 the Chinese Government introduced a number of policy and planning measures to prevent the slowdown in economic growth, particularly lower substantial chemical fertilizer export tariffs, making fertilizer policy environment has improved, thus contributing to the chemical fertilizer market to stabilize.

Long-term international financial and economic crisis, and domestic risk of deflation has been greater than inflation risks, to stimulate economic growth will be a major goal of China's macro-economic policies in 2009. Fertilizer industry is expected to be a degree of ease pressure in the policy environment, supply of raw materials; However, slowing demand growth, corporate capital chain tension, increasing degree of external dependence on fertilizer industry, all these negative factors still continue; at the same time, the readjusting of export tariff policy, coal, sulfur and other important raw materials supply, negotiation of potash fertilizer import, fertilizer industry preferential policies abolishment or not, all these are still large uncertainties, suggesting that in 2009 Chinese fertilizer market will continue to be a complicated and ever-changing situation.

On the basis of comprehensive analysis of the recall on the China fertilizer market policies and market trends in 2008, combined operation of the national economy and policy changes, BOABC will make a clear analysis to the 2009 China fertilizer market in a more in-depth analysis, for attention to China's fertilizer market to provide decision-making.

Chapter One: Macro-Economy & Fertilizer Industry’s Development
1.1 China’s economy status
1.1.1 Review and outlook of China’s economy 2008-2009
1.1.2 Economic status
1.1.3 Agricultural production
1.1.4 Chemical industry
1.1.5 Fertilizer production

1.2 Impact of agricultural policies on fertilizer industry
1.2.1 Impact of National Grains Development Planning (2008-2020) on demand of fertilizer
1.2.2 Impact of grain direct subsidy and farm input subsidy on demand of fertilizer
1.2.3 Impact of other agricultural policies on fertilizer industry

1.3 Impact of change in regulatory of natural resources on fertilizer production
1.3.1 Impact of policy for coal production
1.3.2 Impact of policy for natural gas on fertilizer industry
1.3.3 Impact of policy for mineral resources on fertilizer industry

1.4 Impact of transport policies on investment and development of fertilizer industry

1.5 Impact of monetary and fiscal policy adjustment investment and development of fertilizer industry

1.6 Impact of International financial crisis on fertilizer industry

1.7 Current investment status in China’s fertilizer industry
1.7.1 Investment in N fertilizer
1.7.2 Investment in P fertilizer
1.7.3 Investment in K fertilizer
1.7.4 Investment in compound fertilizer

1.8 Analysis on competence by variety
1.8.1 Analysis on competence of N fertilizer
1.8.2 Analysis on competence of P fertilizer
1.8.3 Analysis on competence of K fertilizer
1.8.4 Analysis on competence of compound fertilizer

1.9 Changes in the structure of chemical fertilizer industry

1.10 Fertilizer distribution system
1.10.1 Change in distribution system
1.10.2 Farm input chain store
1.10.3 Domestic sales network of Sinochem Fertilizer
1.10.4 Domestic sales network of CNAMPC
1.10.5 Postal logistics service
1.10.6 Distribution of foreign enterprises

Chapter Two: Review & Outlook of Fertilizer Market in 2008-2009
2.1 Market Review for 2008
2.1.1 Analysis on market prosperity
2.1.2 Market trend
2.1.3 Impact of international market
2.1.4 Analysis on fertilizer demand for grain production
2.1.5 Fertilizer production
2.1.6 Imports and exports
2.1.7 Fertilizer demand
2.1.8 Price trend
2.2 Outlook in 2009
2.2.1 Market prospect
2.2.2 Farming input-output forecast
2.2.3 Import quotas and authorized fertilizer importers in 2009
2.2.4 Changes in fertilizer import and export tariffs
2.2.5 Characteristics of industry policy
2.2.6 Estimates of fertilizer production in 2009
2.2.7 Estimates of fertilizer imports and exports in 2009
2.2.8 Estimates of fertilizer consumption in 2009

Chapter Three: Review & Outlook of Nitrogen Market in 2008-2009
3.1 Nitrogen fertilizer market review in 2008
3.1.1 Analysis on market prosperity
3.1.2 Cost and profit for N fertilizer production
3.1.3 N fertilizer market analysis
3.1.4 N fertilizer production
3.1.5 N fertilizer imports and exports
3.1.6 N fertilizer consumption
3.1.7 Urea market review in 2008
3.1.7.1 Market analysis
3.1.7.2 Urea production
3.1.7.3 Urea consumption
3.1.7.4 Urea market trend
3.1.8 ABC market in 2007
3.1.8.1 ABC production
3.1.8.2 ABC consumption
3.1.8.3 ABC price trend
3.1.9 Other N fertilizer
3.2 Outlook of N fertilizer in 2009
3.2.1 Potential in capacity boom
3.2.2 Market prospect for N fertilizer in 2009
3.2.3 Estimates of urea market trend in 2009
3.2.4 Production trend in N fertilizer
3.2.5 Import and export of N fertilizer
3.2.6 Estimates of N fertilizer consumption

Chapter Four: Review and Outlook of Phosphate Fertilizer Market 2008-2009
4.1 Phosphate fertilizer market review in 2008
4.1.1 Analysis on market prosperity
4.1.2 Cost and profit for P fertilizer production 2008
4.1.3 P fertilizer production
4.1.4 P fertilizer imports
4.1.5 P fertilizer consumption
4.1.6 Price trend
4.2 Outlook of phosphate fertilizer in 2008
4.2.1 Estimates of market prospect
4.2.2 Estimates of production
4.2.3 Estimates of imports and exports
4.2.4 Estimates of consumption

Chapter Five: Review and Outlook of Potassium Fertilizer Market 2008-2009
5.1 Potash fertilizer market review in 2008
5.1.1 Analysis on market prosperity
5.1.2 Cost and profit for K fertilizer production
5.1.3 Production of Salt Lake Potash Co Ltd
5.1.4 Production of Luobupo Potash Co Ltd
5.1.5 Other important fertilizer project
5.1.6 K fertilizer market analysis
5.1.7 K fertilizer production
5.1.8 K fertilizer imports
5.1.9 K fertilizer consumption
5.1.10 Price trends
5.2 Output of Potassium Fertilizer Market in 2009
5.2.1 Potential in K fertilizer capacity boom
5.2.2 Estimates of K fertilizer market trends in 2009
5.2.3 Estimates of K fertilizer production in 2009
5.2.4 Estimates of K fertilizer imports in 2009
5.2.4 Estimates of K fertilizer consumption in 2009

Chapter Six: Review and Outlook of Compound Fertilizer Market 2008-2009
6.1 Compound fertilizer market review in 2008
6.1.1 Analysis on market prosperity
6.1.2 Cost and profit for compound fertilizer production
6.1.3 Impact of compound fertilizer imports on the domestic market
6.1.4 Compound fertilizer production
6.1.5 Compound fertilizer imports
6.1.6 Compound fertilizer consumption
6.1.7 Price trends for NPK, DAP and MAP

6.2 Estimates of compound fertilizer market trends in 2009
6.2.1 Potential in compound fertilizer capacity boom
6.2.2 Estimates of compound fertilizer market trends in 2009
6.2.3 Estimates of compound fertilizer production in 2009
6.2.4 Estimates of compound fertilizer imports in 2009
6.2.4.1 Estimates of DAP imports
6.2.4.2 Estimates of NPK imports
6.2.5 Estimates of compound fertilizer consumption in 2009

Chapter Seven: Review And Outlook Of Related Industries 2008-2009
7.1 Review and outlook of synthetic ammonia market 2008-2009
7.1.1 Supply of coal and natural gas in 2008
7.1.2 Production of synthetic Ammonia in 2008
7.1.3 Imports and exports of synthetic ammonia in 2008
7.1.4 Price trends in 2008
7.1.5 Estimates of synthetic ammonia production in 2009
7.1.6 Estimates of imports and exports of synthetic ammonia in 2009

7.2 Review and outlook of phosphorite market 2008-2009
7.2.1 Supply of phosphorite
7.2.2 Phosphorite production in 2008
7.2.3 Phosphorite imports and exports in 2008
7.2.4 Price trends in 2008
7.2.5 Estimates of phosphorite production in 2009
7.2.6 Estimates of imports and exports of phosphorite in 2009

7.3 Review and outlook of sulfur and sulfuric acid market 2008-2009
7.3.1 Supply of sulfur and sulfuric acid
7.3.2 Production of sulfur and sulfuric acid in 2008
7.3.3 Sulphide iron production in 2008
7.3.4 Imports of sulfur and sulfuric acid in 2008
7.3.5 Price trends of sulfur, sulfuric acid and sulphide iron
7.3.6 Estimate of sulfur and sulfuric acid production in 2009
7.3.7 Estimate of sulphide iron production in 2009
7.3.8 Estimate of sulfur and sulfuric acid imports in 2009

7.4 Review and outlook of phosphoric acid market 2008-2009
7.4.1 Phosphoric acid production in 2008
7.4.2 Phosphoric acid imports and exports in 2008
7.4.3 Estimate of phosphoric acid production in 2009
7.4.4 Estimates of imports and exports of phosphoric acid in 2009

APPENDIX ? Table

Chemical Fertilizer
Table1, Chemical Fertilizer Balance Sheet, 2004-2009
Table2, Import by Major Chemical Fertilizer Products, 2004-2008
Table3, Exports by Major Chemical Fertilizer Products, 2004-2008
Table4, Chemical Fertilizer Production, 2004-2008
Table5, Chemical Fertilizer Consumption, 2004-2008

N-Fertilizer
Table6, N-Fertilizer Balance Sheet, 2004-2009
Table7, Balance Sheet of Urea in China, 2004-2009
Table8, N-Fertilizer Production by Variety, 2004-2008
Table9, N-Fertilizer Production by Province, 2004-2008
Table10, N-Fertilizer Consumption, 2004-2008
Table11, China’s Urea Exports by Destination Country, 2004-2008
Table12, Urea Imports by Customs, 2004-2008
Table13, China’s Urea Exports by Customs, 2004-2008
Table14, China’s Ammonium sulfate Exports by Destination Country, 2004-2008
Table15, China’s Ammonium chloride Exports by Destination Country, 2004-2008
Table16, China’s Ammonium nitrate Exports by Destination Country, 2004-2008

P-Fertilizer
Table17, P-Fertilizers Balance Sheet, 2004-2009
Table18, P-Fertilizer Production by Variety, 2004-2008
Table19, P-Fertilizer Production, 2004-2008
Table20, P-Fertilizer Consumption, 2004-2008
Table21, China’s SSP Exports by Destination Country, 2004-2008
Table22, China’s TSP Exports by Destination Country, 2004-2008

K-Fertilizer
Table23, K-Fertilizers Balance Sheet, 2004-2009
Table24, K-Fertilizer Production by Variety, 2004-2008
Table25, K-Fertilizer Production, 2004-2008
Table26, K-Fertilizer Consumption, 2004-2008
Table27, China’s MOP Imports by Country Original, 2004-2008
Table28, China’s MOP Exports by Destination Country, 2004-2008
Table29, MOP Imports by Customs, 2004-2008
Table30, China’s MOP Exports by Customs, 2004-2008
Table31, MOP Imports by Provinces, 2004-2008
Table32, China’s SOP Imports by Country Original, 2004-2008
Table33, China’s SOP Exports by Destination Country, 2004-2008
Table34, SOP Imports by Customs, 2004-2008
Table35, China’s SOP Exports by Customs, 2004-2008
Table36, SOP Imports by Provinces, 2004-2008

Compound Fertilizer
Table37, Balance Sheet of Compound Fertilizer in China, 2004-2009
Table38, Balance Sheet of NPK in China, 2004-2009
Table39, Balance Sheet of DAP in China, 2004-2009
Table40, Compound Fertilizer Production, 2004-2008
Table41, Compound Fertilizer Consumption, 2004-2008
Table42, China’s NPK Imports by Country Original, 2004-2008
Table43, China’s NPK Exports by Destination Country, 2004-2008
Table44, NPK Imports by Customs, 2004-2008
Table45, China’s NPK Exports by Customs, 2004-2008
Table46, NPK Imports by Provinces, 2004-2008
Table47, China’s DAP Imports by Country Original, 2004-2008
Table48, China’s DAP Exports by Country Destination, 2004-2008
Table49, DAP Imports by Customs, 2004-2008
Table50, China’s DAP Exports by Customs, 2004-2008
Table51, DAP Imports by Province, 2004-2008
Table52, China’s MAP Imports by Country Original, 2004-2008

Chemical Fertilizer Related Products
Table53, China’s Import by Major Chemical Fertilizer Related Products, 2004-2008
Table54, Export by Major Chemical Fertilizer Related Products, 2004-2008
Table55, China’s Production by Major Chemical Fertilizer Related Products, 2004-2008
Table56, Phosphorite production, 2004-2008
Table57, Production of Sulfuric Acid, 2004-2008