Ice Cream - UK - September 2009About this report
There is growing demand for indulgent ‘treats’ in the British diet and the £1.3 billion ice cream market is tapping into this demand with growing sales of luxury and premium ice creams at the expense of standard varieties. 14m adults buy ice cream as a treat. There are unexploited opportunities for sorbets and frozen yogurts (part of the ‘healthy’ ice cream sector valued at £47m); as an estimated 21m and 23m adults respectively do not buy these products. Non-buyers tend towards over 45-year-olds in the less affluent C2DE group. Ice cream suppliers need to ensure that they actively promote the category all year round, and not save their promotional spend just for summer, as 16m adults eat ice cream all year round. Flavour is the deciding factor for over 22 million people when choosing what ice cream to buy. Ice cream lovers are adventurous as 14m of them like trying out different flavours, offering opportunities for manufacturers to encourage consumers to trial a wider selection of innovative flavours. Around 6m consumers think that sorbets are healthier than traditional ice cream; these consumers are likely to be 35-54 years old in the more affluent AB socio-economic group. Value for money is ever more important for consumers are they look to make their shopping budgets go further and just under 7m consumers feel that multi pack ice cream bars (e.g. Mars, Snickers) are good value for money. Ice Cream - UK - September 2009Issues in the Market
Key themes Definition Market in Brief Value sales continue to grow A sustained healthy eating agenda New product innovation Consumer choices Internal Market Environment Key points A dessert for all seasons? Figure 1: UK Mean seasonal temperature (°C), 2004-09* ‘Naughty but nice’ Figure 2: Trends in eating desserts/treats, 2005-09 Striving for a healthy lifestyle Figure 3: Trends in healthy lifestyles and eating habits, 2005-09 Better-for-you treats Concerns over rising obesity levels Figure 4: Current and projected levels of overweight and obese children in the UK, by age and gender, 2003 and 2010 Figure 5: Projection of obesity prevalence among adults in England, by gender, 2003-50 Broader Market Environment Key points Commodity price rises and government subsidies Figure 6: UK farmgate price of milk, 2004-09 Cold storage Figure 7: Household ownership of freezers (separate from refrigerator) and combined fridge/freezers, 2005-09 Demographic trends Figure 8: Trends in the age structure of the UK population, 2004-14 Strengths and Weaknesses Strengths Weaknesses Competitive Context Key points Competing indulgent treats Figure 9: UK retail value sales of ice cream, desserts, fruit, yogurt, smoothies, chocolate confectionery and cake & cake bars, 2004-09 Sustaining sales of chocolate confectionery Healthier options Market Size and Forecast Key points Warm weather spells good news for sales in 2009 Figure 13: UK retail volume and value sales of ice cream, at current and constant prices, 2004-14 Figure 14: New product launches in a tub format, 2006-09* Figure 15: UK retail sales of ice cream, by sector, 2007-09 Resurgence of frozen food category New product launches Rising cost per litre Figure 16: Price (£) per litre, 2004-09 Factors used in the forecast Segment Performance Key points Take-home ice cream Figure 17: UK retail volume and value sales of take-home ice cream, at current and 2009 prices, 2004-14 A more indulgent offering Figure 18: UK retail value sales of take-home ice cream, by type, 2007-09 Healthy treats Handheld multipacks offer convenience Impulse ice cream Figure 19: UK retail volume and value sales of impulse ice cream, at current and 2009 prices, 2004-14 Chocolate snacks Figure 20: UK retail volume and value sales of wrapped impulse and scooping ice cream, by type, 2007-09 Refreshment ice creams Meeting the needs of children Market Share Key points Unilever leads the ice cream market Figure 21: Manufacturers’ value shares in take-home sales of ice cream, 2007-09 Figure 22: NPD in ice creams, Unilever percentage share of new product launches, 2006-09* Häagen-Dazs and Ben & Jerry’s add to growth of luxury ice creams Brand extensions add to value sales growth Figure 23: Manufacturers’ brand shares in sales of wrapped impulse ice cream, 2007-09 Companies and Products Manufacturers and brands Figure 24: Leading companies in the ice cream market in the UK and their brands, 2009 Major players Fredericks Dairies Figure 25: New products launched by Fredericks, Q1 2008-Q2 2009 General Mills Figure 26: New products launched by General Mills, Q1 2008-Q2 2009 Green & Black’s Figure 27: New products launched by Green & Black’s, Q1 2008-Q2 2009 Mars Figure 28: New products launched by Mars, Q1 2008-Q2 2009 R&R Ice Cream Figure 29: New products launched by R&R Ice Cream, Q1 2008-Q2 2009 Unilever Figure 30: New products launched by Unilever, Q1 2008-Q2 2009 Own-label Brand Communication and Promotion Key points Ice cream brands receive advertising support despite recession Figure 42: Main monitored media advertising expenditure on ice cream, 2005-09* TV plays a dominant role Figure 43: Main monitored media advertising expenditure on ice cream, by medium, 2006-09* Figure 44: Expenditure on cinema advertising for ice cream, by manufacturer and brand, 2006-09 Unilever reigns supreme Figure 45: Main monitored media advertising expenditure on ice cream, by top ten manufacturers, 2006-09 Adspend is seasonal and mirrors new product launches Figure 46: Average monthly NPD and adspend for ice cream, cumulative 2006-09* Channels to Market Key points Multiples dominate the take-home market Figure 47: UK retail value sales of take-home ice cream, by outlet type, 2007-09 Weather has greater impact on the impulse sector Figure 48: UK retail value sales of wrapped impulse ice creams, by outlet type, 2007-09 Could this be the end of Mr. Whippy? The Consumer – Usage Key points Tubs and blocks Usage declining Figure 49: Consumption of ice cream in tubs and blocks in the last 12 months, 2003-09 Tubs appeal to older consumers Having some ‘me time’ Bars and sticks Figure 50: Consumption of ice cream bars and sticks in the last 12 months, 2003-09 Light users of ice cream bars and sticks tend to be ABC1s Parents are the ‘gatekeepers’ Figure 51: Consumption of ice lollies – 7-14-year-olds, 2003-09 A European context Figure 52: Consumption of ice cream in tubs, blocks, bars and sticks in the last 12 months, by country, 2008 Figure 53: Percentage of new product launches, by country, 2006-09* Appendix Abbreviations Appendix – Internal Market Environment Figure 62: UK mean Seasonal monthly rainfall (mm), 2004-09* Figure 63: UK mean monthly sunshine (total hours), 2004-09* Figure 64: Agreement with selected lifestyle statements, by demographics, 2009 Figure 65: Agreement with selected lifestyle statements, by demographics, 2009 Figure 66: Agreement with selected lifestyle statements, by demographics, 2009 Appendix – Who’s Innovating Figure 67: New product launches in the ice cream category, 2006-09* Figure 68: NPD in ice creams, percentage of new launches, by month, 2006-08 Figure 69: NPD in ice creams, percentage of launches, by type of launch, 2006-09* Figure 70: NPD in ice creams, percentage of launches, by company, 2006-09* Figure 71: NPD in ice creams, percentage of launches, by branded vs. own-label, 2006-09* Appendix – The Consumer – Usage Figure 72: Consumption of ice cream in tubs and blocks in the last 12 months, by demographics, 2009 Figure 73: Consumption of ice cream bars and sticks in the last 12 months, by demographics, 2009 Figure 74: Types of ice cream bars and sticks eaten in the last 12 months, 2007-09 Figure 75: Types of ice cream bars and sticks eaten in the last 12 months, by country, 2008 Ice Cream - UK - September 2009Ice Cream - UK - September 2009To access the sample report click here To access this sample you must be registered with us. 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