Associated British Foods is expected to deliver strong top-line growth when it delivers its full-year results tomorrow (3 November), helped by currency exchange and M&A activity.

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In a research note, Bernstein analysts suggested that ABF is expected to generate reported sales growth of 16.4%, which would bring sales to GBP9.58bn. Like-for-like sales are expected to come in around 7% up on last year, the brokerage added.


However, margins are expected to come under continued pressure, with Bernstein analysts predicting only a 3% growth in pre-tax profits, to GBP652m.


“ABF has experienced seven consecutive semesters of operating margin contraction, and we expect this trend to persist in H2 2009, with margins down -21bps,” the analysts said.


Analysts at Jefferies also predicted that lacklustre margins would dampen the company’s results – with a notable drop in profitability at the group’s discount retail chain Primark.

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The “weaker sterling will erode gross margins,” Jefferies analysts said in a note. “This will be partially offset by lower freight costs and better prices from distressed suppliers,” the brokerage predicted.

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