The cost of a loaf of bread is set to rise, Gill Brooks, chief executive of the National Association of Master Bakers, told just-food today (14 August). Increases are the consequence of rising energy costs and wheat prices, Brooks observed.

Discover B2B Marketing That Performs

Combine business intelligence and editorial excellence to reach engaged professionals across 36 leading media platforms.

Find out more


“This is not a sudden development. The US grain market has been hit by a drought, which has helped to push UK grain process up by 15% over nine-months-ago. The heat wave in Europe is scolding crops and energy prices have increased by 30% from nine-months-ago. As a result, millers have said that they are increasing their prices by GBP30 per tonne.”


Bakers are likely to increase the price of a large loaf by three to four pence, Brooks suggested.


“We might not see prices go up so much in the supermarkets and large multiples, who will have known this increase is coming and been stockpiling wheat. Also, the supermarkets’ buying power will help keep grain costs down. Bread is often sold as a loss-leader in supermarkets, but smaller bakers will have to pass some of the increasing costs along to consumers,” Brooks commented.

GlobalData Strategic Intelligence

US Tariffs are shifting - will you react or anticipate?

Don’t let policy changes catch you off guard. Stay proactive with real-time data and expert analysis.

By GlobalData

Just Food Excellence Awards - Nominations Closed

Nominations are now closed for the Just Food Excellence Awards. A big thanks to all the organisations that entered – your response has been outstanding, showcasing exceptional innovation, leadership, and impact.

Excellence in Action
Winning five categories in the 2025 Just Food Excellence Awards, Centric Software is setting the pace for digital transformation in food and FMCG. Explore how its integrated PLM and PXM suite delivers faster launches, smarter compliance and data-driven growth for complex, multi-channel product portfolios.

Discover the Impact