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April 14, 2021updated 11 May 2021 7:15pm

UK food exports to EU improve after post-Brexit slump

By Andy Coyne

UK food exports to the European Union rebounded in February following a post-Brexit slowdown in January.

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The food and grocery sector thrived during the pandemic, largely due to the shutdown of the food service industry and the sector’s subsequent necessity, panic-induced bulk purchasing, and spending more time at home. The market has grown as a result of inflation. Consumer unwillingness to go out and socialize, and the reopening of several hospitality facilities, helped maintain the demand for groceries, particularly online, in 2021. As consumer behavior changes, we consume more food and drink at home, and inflation increases basket sizes. GlobalData predicts that the sector will continue to hold a higher share than had been predicted prior to the pandemic. This is true despite the fact that the food and grocery sector's share of overall retail will decline from its peak in 2020. This report will discuss market forecasts and key themes in the global food & grocery industry in 2022 and beyond. It covers:
  • Market drivers and inhibitors
  • Five-year forecasts and the impact of COVID-19
  • The performance of the online channel versus offline
  • Major trends in the market including rapid delivery, ambient retailing, supply chain disruption, and inflation
Assess developments within this sector to help your business thrive in 2022 and beyond.
by GlobalData
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Figures released by the UK’s Office for National Statistics (ONS) yesterday (13 April) showed exports of food and live animals to the EU increased by 77.4% to GBP700m (US$963.2m) in February, when compared to January, after being significantly impacted in the first month of the year.

Shipments of fish and shellfish also saw an uptick as exporters adjusted to new regulations following the end of the Brexit transition period on 1 January.

“The disruptions to food exports in January 2021 appear to have largely been overcome and may have only had short-term impacts on trade,” the ONS said.

Anecdotal evidence from UK food exporters in January suggested they were experiencing significant hold-ups at borders linked to additional paperwork and checks introduced following the UK’s exit from the EU.

In January, according to ONS data, UK exports of food and live animals to the EU stood at GBP400m, more than halving from the GBP1bn recorded in December.

Overall UK exports to the EU jumped by 46.6% to GBP11.6bn in February, following January’s 42% slump when firms struggled with new trade rules.

However, the ONS said exports were still below last year’s levels and imports from the EU had seen a weaker recovery.

An ONS spokesperson, quoted by UK broadcaster the BBC, said: “Exports to the EU recovered significantly from their January fall, though still remain below 2020 levels. However, imports from the EU are yet to significantly rebound, with a number of issues hampering trade.”

UK imports from the EU rose by 7.3%, or GBP1.2bn in February to GBP17.1bn, after dropping 29.7% the month before. The figure is still 12.5% off February 2020 levels.

In late March, the UK government said there were indications UK exports of meat, seafood and dairy to the EU were recovering.

Speaking to legislators, the UK’s Department for Environment, Food & Rural Affairs (Defra) said there were signs trade was “picking up” from a slump in January in the wake of the country formally leaving the EU’s single market and customs union on 31 December.

Responding to the ONS data, a spokesperson for UK industry body the British Meat Processors Association said: “The media reports of recovering trade in February miss the point that fresh food exports are not recovering to the same extent as other goods because the same barriers to trade remain unresolved. Even if some trade has resumed there is an extra cost incurred in export health certification along with substantial time delays which makes British meat exporters less competitive.

“It is still widely accepted that the fresh food issues are where the big drops have been and until groupage issues are resolved and the system is simplified the barriers will still prevent full resumption of exports and we will not be rid of the extra cost.”

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Free Report
img

What’s the forecast for the food and grocery industry?

The food and grocery sector thrived during the pandemic, largely due to the shutdown of the food service industry and the sector’s subsequent necessity, panic-induced bulk purchasing, and spending more time at home. The market has grown as a result of inflation. Consumer unwillingness to go out and socialize, and the reopening of several hospitality facilities, helped maintain the demand for groceries, particularly online, in 2021. As consumer behavior changes, we consume more food and drink at home, and inflation increases basket sizes. GlobalData predicts that the sector will continue to hold a higher share than had been predicted prior to the pandemic. This is true despite the fact that the food and grocery sector's share of overall retail will decline from its peak in 2020. This report will discuss market forecasts and key themes in the global food & grocery industry in 2022 and beyond. It covers:
  • Market drivers and inhibitors
  • Five-year forecasts and the impact of COVID-19
  • The performance of the online channel versus offline
  • Major trends in the market including rapid delivery, ambient retailing, supply chain disruption, and inflation
Assess developments within this sector to help your business thrive in 2022 and beyond.
by GlobalData
Enter your details here to receive your free Report.

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